Inflation printed 3.21% in February, the first reading on the rebased index
The National Statistical Office's new series opened with a headline rate of 3.21% year on year, a touch above the level that keeps a February cut in play and well inside the tolerance band around the Reserve Bank of India's target.
By Rohit Banerjee · Economics Correspondent, Business

The short version
- The National Statistical Office put February 2026 CPI inflation at 3.21% year on year, provisionally.
- The rural reading was 3.37% and the urban reading 3.02%.
- It is the first monthly release in the series rebased to 2024 = 100.
India's consumer price inflation came in at 3.21% year on year in February 2026, according to the National Statistical Office release published on March 12. The number is provisional, as the first reading of any month is, and it is the first one computed on the rebased series that now uses 2024 as its reference year.
- 3.21% — headline CPI inflation, February 2026, year on year (provisional)
- 3.37% — the rural reading
- 3.02% — the urban reading
- 3.47% — the combined food price index
- 2.12% — housing
The gap between rural and urban inflation is the number most likely to be argued over. A rural reading a third of a percentage point above the urban figure means the food component is doing more work in the rural basket, which matters for a monetary authority that reads rural demand as the leading edge of the cycle.
For the Reserve Bank of India the reading lands inside the tolerance band around the 4% target, and closer to the floor of it than to the ceiling. The Monetary Policy Committee met in the first week of February and held the policy repo rate at 5.25% on a neutral vote. A provisional 3.21% is consistent with that stance; it is not, by itself, a reason to move.
Sources — 3 references
These are the published sources this article was established against. NOT SCRIPTED wrote the text above; the sources below are credited to their own publishers.
About the byline
Rohit Banerjee
Macroeconomics, public finance and the quarterly numbers. Reads the budget documents for pleasure.
Read about the NOT SCRIPTED newsroom and how our bylines work.
Related coverage

Retail inflation reaches 4.38% in June, the first breach above target on the new series

A new index, the same inflation: how to read India's CPI after the rebasing

RBI holds the repo rate at 5.25%, with one member voting for a softer stance
