Frozen assets, the Strait of Hormuz and a new nuclear round: inside the reported US-Iran draft
Iranian media published the outline of a draft agreement on June 12. Reuters reported that no final deal had been reached. Both halves of that sentence matter.
By Dmitri Volkov · Geopolitics Analyst, Geopolitics
The short version
- Iranian media reported a draft envisaging the phased release of roughly $24 billion in frozen Iranian assets.
- The draft reportedly covers renewed nuclear negotiations and steps to keep the Strait of Hormuz in operation.
- Reuters reported that Iranian officials cautioned no final agreement had been reached.
A draft agreement between Tehran and Washington was reported on June 12, 2026 by Iranian state media, which said it could pave the way for the release of $24 billion in frozen Iranian assets, fresh nuclear negotiations and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The reporting is attributed to the Mehr news agency as carried by Arab News. Reuters, reporting separately the same day, said Iranian officials had cautioned that no final agreement had been reached.
That is the correct frame for what comes next: a framework with three components, contested by both sides as to whether it is a deal.
Why the frozen assets came first
The release of funds held abroad is a long-standing demand of Tehran and has proved the most tractable of the three components, because it is measurable and reversible. A phased unfreezing can be staged against verifiable steps. Nuclear enrichment levels and inspection regimes cannot, which is why the same text pairs the money with a further negotiating round rather than with a settlement.
- Frozen assets: phased release of approximately $24 billion, as part of a broader sanctions-relief mechanism.
- Nuclear: fresh negotiations, with no settlement concluded.
- Shipping: measures to ensure continued operation of the Strait of Hormuz.
- Status: a draft. Neither government had confirmed the details.
- Talk window: 60 days of negotiations on the nuclear programme after any signing, per IRNA and Reuters.
- Endorsement: Mehr reported that any final agreement would go to a UN Security Council resolution.
The gap between the two sides' public positions was wider than the document suggests. Reuters reported that the Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei had called reports of an imminent agreement premature, stressing that key issues remained unresolved. Reporting carried by The Guardian, in turn, had Donald Trump saying the diplomatic effort had advanced far enough to postpone further military action. Those are not the same statement about the same state of play, and neither is a signature.
The Strait is the component with the widest consequences and, from Tehran's side, the least leverage to trade. The waterway carries a substantial share of global oil and gas. Washington's interest in a quick reopening is obvious; Iran's interest in the terms on which it reopens is the leverage it has. Reports through this period repeatedly paired the two, which is how a shipping concession ended up inside a document about nuclear weapons. The draft's structure suggests why that pairing is not accidental: Tehran's funds, the waterway and the enrichment question are the three things it has spent years trying to trade together, and Washington is being asked to accept them as one transaction.
Sources — 2 references
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Dmitri Volkov
Great-power competition, defence procurement and India's neighbourhood.
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